Western Carolina
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 93.3091Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 4- 3 228 H Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 3- 9 301 H Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 2- 3 304 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 10-16 307 A Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 0- 4 308 A Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 4- 7 310 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 13- 3 414 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 14- 4 508 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 1- 6 509 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 2-14 510 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 5- 9 521 H Samford SO ( 9-10, 94.7) 5- 9 521 H UNC Greensboro SO ( 7-14, 91.9) 4- 3 522 H Samford SO ( 9-10, 94.7) 1- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 A Troy 4- 3 1 -4 ++ 4.59
228 H Rutgers 3- 9 -6 0 --- -6.09
301 H Ohio State 2- 3 -1 -1 0.05
304 H Pittsburgh 10-16 -6 -2 - -3.62
307 A Charlotte 0- 4 -4 -1 - -2.52
308 A Charlotte 4- 7 -3 -1 -1.52
310 A App State 13- 3 10 -3 +++ 12.55
414 H App State 14- 4 10 -1 +++ 11.19
508 A Wake Forest 1- 6 -5 -5 -0.37
509 A Wake Forest 2-14 -12 -5 --- -7.37
510 A Wake Forest 5- 9 -4 -5 0.63
521 H Samford 5- 9 -4 -1 - -3.24
521 H UNC Greensboro 4- 3 1 2 -1.05
522 H Samford 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.24
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Rutgers 3- 9 -6 0 --- -6.09 509 A Wake Forest 2-14 -12 -5 --- -7.37 304 H Pittsburgh 10-16 -6 -2 - -3.62 307 A Charlotte 0- 4 -4 -1 - -2.52 521 H Samford 5- 9 -4 -1 - -3.24 522 H Samford 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.24 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 A App State 13- 3 10 -3 +++ 12.55 414 H App State 14- 4 10 -1 +++ 11.19 227 A Troy 4- 3 1 -4 ++ 4.59 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 4- 3 -3.68 14.75 0.68 2.07 63.73
3 H Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 3- 9 -6.01 12.42 -0.68 2.07 -6.90
3 H Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 2- 3 -4.87 13.56 -0.68 2.07 -5.73
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 10-16 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 2.07 -4.35
3 A Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 0- 4 -5.79 12.64 0.68 2.07 -5.28
3 A Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 4- 7 -5.79 12.64 0.68 2.07 -5.28
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 13- 3 -4.72 13.70 0.68 2.07 59.41
3 H App State (31-23, 95.2) 14- 4 -4.72 13.70 -0.68 2.07 53.83
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 1- 6 -2.63 15.79 0.68 2.07 -2.02
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 2-14 -2.63 15.79 0.68 2.07 -2.02
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 5- 9 -2.63 15.79 0.68 2.07 -2.02
3 H Samford ( 9-10, 94.7) 5- 9 -5.15 13.27 -0.68 2.07 -6.02
3 H UNC Greensboro ( 7-14, 91.9) 4- 3 -7.96 10.46 -0.68 2.07 40.44
3 H Samford ( 9-10, 94.7) 1- 5 -5.15 13.27 -0.68 2.07 -6.02
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171.77
|
winning pts = 217.4198 losing points = -45.6459
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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